Saturday, November 1, 2008

Holy Yogi Berra! Zogby/Reuters poll says McCain leads Obama, 48-47 percent; race is tightening

It ain't over until it's over may turn out to be lasting theme that comes out of 2008 presidential election.

Yankee Yogi Berra's wisdom bears remembering, if a new and shocking poll out today is any indication of a long Nov. 4 night.

The poll by John Zogby and Reuters has Sen. Obama up by five points. But the daily tracking poll has McCain up over Obama. Yes, you read right. And the numbers are from the two days following Obama's media-celebrated, 30-minute informercial earlier this week.

Pollster Zogby writes:

"Is McCain making a move? The three-day average holds steady, but McCain outpolled Obama today, 48% to 47%. He is beginning to cut into Obama's lead among independents, is now leading among blue collar voters, has strengthened his lead among investors and among men, and is walloping Obama among NASCAR voters. Joe the Plumber may get his license after all.

"Obama's lead among women declined, and it looks like it is occurring because McCain is solidifying the support of conservative women, which is something we saw last time McCain picked up in the polls. If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average.

But for now, hold on."

Indeed. May the best man win Nov. 4.

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