Gallup and Zogby put it at two and four percentage points respectively. Today, Investors Business Daily put the race at 3 points. It predicted the 2004 race dead on.
Rasmussen says the following:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 50% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 47%. This is the first time McCain has been within three points of Obama in more than a month and the first time his support has topped 46% since September 24 (see trends). One percent (1%) of voters prefer a third-party option and 2% are undecided.
Among those who “always” vote in general elections, Obama leads by just a single point.
These numbers are significant, considering that all presidential races always narrow toward the end. The stock market briefly is up, which removes the economy as an issue for Obama at a critical time.
Also, during the Democratic primary campaign, Obama had problems with Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton in closing out their races. Obama had been pegged up by 10 percentage points right before New Hampshire. And he lost by 3 percentage points.
Fast forward. Obama's runningmate Joe Biden continues to say the wrong things, this time lowering the amount of household income that would be helped by his tax hikes to $150,000 from $250,000. That means higher taxes would touch many more Americans at a very bad time. And Obama has disppeared from the TV political shows and has not held an official press conference in more than a month.
What is he scared of?
This race may turn out to be a barn burner and a very late night on Nov. 4.