Tuesday, October 14, 2008

Race factor diminishing with each economic crisis

The race factor of people who will not vote for a black man for president has diminished with each crisis in the nation's financial markets.

NPR's Juan Williams put that factor at 5 to 7 percentage points of the vote several weeks ago. I believe it has narrowed to 2 to 4 percent points, leaving Obama with a comfortable margin to win Nov. 4 with more than 50 percent of the vote. Not even Bill Clinton did that in his two winning campaigns.

Even the most pessimistic polls have Obama up by 4.5 to 5 percentage points. I believe even those polls will enlarge the gap to 7 percentage points by election day. Sen. John McCain today released a weak economic recovery plan that sealed the fate of his campaign.

Sen. Barack Obama is going to win the presidency. Let us pray for him now for the difficult environment he win inherit in the White House.

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